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Z. Naturforsch. 69a, 145 – 154
(2014)
doi:10.5560/ZNA.2013-0086
The Ordered Network Structure of M ≥ 8 Earthquakes and its Prediction for the Ordered Pair Great Earthquakes in Mainland China
College of Mathematics and Statistics, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
Received August 27, 2013 / revised November 19, 2013 / published online February 5, 2014
Reprint requests to: K.-P. M.; E-mail:
menkepei@gmail.com
According to the statistical data, a total of 23 M ≥ 8 earthquakes occurred in Mainland China from 1303 to 2012. The seismic activity of M ≥ 8 earthquakes has showed an obvious self-organized orderliness. It should be remarked especially that there were three ordered pairs of M ≥ 8 earthquakes occurred in West China during 1902–2001, of which the time interval in each pair of two earthquakes was four years. This is a unique and rare earthquake example in earthquake history of China and the world. In the guidance of the information forecasting theory of Wen-Bo Weng, based on previous research results, combining ordered analysis with complex network technology, this paper focuses on the summary of the ordered network structure of M ≥ 8 earthquakes, supplements new
information, constructs and further optimizes the 2D- and 3D-ordered network structure of M ≥ 8 earthquakes to make prediction research. At last, a new prediction opinion is presented that the future ordered pair of great earthquakes will probably occur around 2022 and 2026 in Mainland China.
Key words: Mainland China; Informational Ordered Network Structure; Ordered Pair Great Earthquakes; Prediction of M ≥ 8 Earthquake.